Can Trump be charged twice?

Trump's second impeachment is a fact

In contrast to the last time, ten Republicans voted with the Democrats on Wednesday for an indictment. Conviction is unlikely. While the capital is becoming more and more like a fortress, Trump threatens to split the party.

The Grand Chamber of Congress on Wednesday indicted President Donald Trump for the second time in an impeachment case with 232 votes to 197. It is practically impossible that Trump will be deposed before he leaves office next Wednesday. For this he would have to be condemned by a two-thirds majority by the Senate, which is on a break until the inauguration of Joe Biden. At least seventeen Republicans would then have to support the Democrats. Majority Leader Mitch McConnell ruled out calling the Senate members back to Washington for it.

"Danger to the Republic"

Led by speaker Nancy Pelosi, who quoted both Abraham Lincoln and John F. Kennedy, the Democrats painted the picture of a president posing a threat to the republic and democracy. That is why he must not only be removed from office, but also forever prevented from returning to politics.

In the votes of several Republicans, the old arguments surfaced that had already been presented at the impeachment a year ago. Trump has not really made himself a criminal offense, and the impeachment process is a purely party-politically motivated attempt to finally get rid of a hated Republican president. Others said the process was hasty and that impeachment would only increase polarization in the country instead of unifying the divided people, even if Trump was indeed complicit in the storming of the Capitol.

Like in a fortress

To attend the Capitol Impeachment session, House MPs had to pass through a number of physical barriers and metal detectors. One week after the riot on Epiphany, the city center around the White House and the Capitol began to look more and more like a fortress under siege. Around 15,000 armed members of the National Guard are to be drawn together for the next few days and strengthened the Capitol Police, the Washington Police Corps and the police forces of several other federal agencies.

This time, the message is clear, nothing will be left to chance. American media reports, citing insiders in the security services, that there are calls for demonstrations in Washington and in the capitals of all fifty states. Among other things, it is said to have been asked to hold armed but peaceful protest rallies.

After the desolate scenes of Epiphany, such calls are met with a great deal of skepticism: the potential for escalation is considerable. The fact that violent rioters hide behind peaceful demonstrators is a known fact on both sides of the political spectrum.

Where are the Republicans headed?

A conviction of Trump in his second impeachment seems unlikely at this point in time. But the starting position for the Republicans is different than a year ago, when the indictment in the first trial for the impeachment of the president was only supported by Democrats. Mitt Romney was then the only Republican found Trump guilty on either count.

There weren't even a dozen Republicans who voted with the Democrats in favor of the indictment. But a flood often begins with a few drops; and the uprising of this handful could at best be the beginning of a dam break. There are various reasons for this, none of which played a role last year.

For one, the president has become a definite burden on the Grand Old Party (GOP) in the final months of his tenure. Four years ago, the Republicans controlled the White House, the House of Representatives and the Senate. Now everything is over. The loss of the two Senate seats in Georgia is directly attributable to Trump, as he spread and reinforced the false story of the fake election. The Republicans have therefore lost a decisive lever for at least two years in order to force the new Joe Biden government to compromise in all areas.

Trump has treated the Republican leadership of Georgia, Vice President Mike Pence, and dozens of members of Congress as enemies and traitors for doing their duty rather than abusing their offices out of loyalty to him. The president showed that the fate of the party, the country and democracy worries him far less than the myth of emerging victorious in every fight.

Companies turn off the tap

A growing number of companies began, following the Capitol storm a week ago, either putting donations to political parties and action committees on hold or banning all GOP congressmen who objected or objected to the election results last week supported. You are aiming at a sore point, because for the re-election of politicians, the support of an activist party base devoted to Trump is one thing. But it also needs the other: namely a lot, a lot of money.

A section of the republican establishment that has so far honored the devil's pact with the unpredictable tribune without enthusiasm now sees the chance to get rid of Trump once and for all. The question is no longer when and if, but only how; through impeachment, another sanction or through hidden pressure that would result in an unspectacular withering of Trump.

Liz Cheney, the third-senior Republican in the House of Representatives, wrote in a statement Tuesday that she would vote for Trump's impeachment. The President of the United States rounded up the mob that stormed the Capitol and fanned the attack. Never before has a president betrayed the duties of his office and the oath of allegiance to the constitution. Cheney came forward after her father, former Vice President Dick Cheney, warned the military against interference in political affairs in an open letter from ten former defense ministers - making it clear that he trusted Trump to unlawfully maintain his armed forces Power to call. The move was echoed on Tuesday when the United Chiefs of Staff acknowledged the constitution in a sensational communiqué and made it clear that Joe Biden would be sworn in as the next President next Wednesday.

Now or never?

The Senate majority leader, Mitch McConnell, is said to be happy, according to the New York Times, that the Democrats are taking action against Trump because he is personally convinced that Trump's behavior is heavy enough to justify an impeachment. McConnell is said to have told confidants that a clear break with the president at this point in time would open up a future for the party without the controversial, chaotic Trump.

Some Republican MPs and senators had toyed with the idea of ​​official reprimanding the president of their disapproval. By resorting to the 14th Amendment to the Constitution, you could have tried to cut off Trump's way back to public office. How realistic such a plan would be is controversial, and the Democrats definitely wanted to set an example and make Trump the only president to date who has been impeached twice. Whether he will be the last is another question. Some commentators fear that the measure will degenerate into a routine maneuver.

A large number of Republicans seem to believe that the president is on the way to taking himself off the stage of national politics and that he should simply be allowed to do it. Behind this is undoubtedly a fear of being accused of treason by an angry Trump supporters, as some Republicans did last week. The head of the Republicans in the House of Representatives, Kevin McCarthy, is said to have urged his MPs in a conference call not to attack colleagues who voted for impeachment. This could put their life in danger.

According to a GOP source on conference phone call yesterday, Kevin McCarthy warned members not to verbally attack colleagues who vote for impeachment because it could endanger their lives.

- John McCormack (@McCormackJohn) January 12, 2021

It is shocking that a leader of a party that supports the state in the oldest democratic constitutional state has to say something like that about his base.